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Asymmetric effects of oil shocks on economic policy uncertainty

dc.contributor.authorAimer, Najmi
dc.contributor.authorLusta, Abdulmula
dc.date.accessioned2026-01-04T16:29:38Z
dc.date.issued2022-02-01
dc.description.abstractAbstract The aim of this paper is to investigate the asymmetric effects of the crude oil price on global economic policy uncertainty (EPU) using a nonlinear, autoregressive distributed lag approach. The results of the bounds test indicate that there is a long-run equilibrium relationship between economic uncertainty and crude oil price. Furthermore, we conclude that the long-run equilibrium relationship is a usual logical relationship and not a degraded relationship. The results of the asymmetric test also showed that the positive and negative shocks in oil prices do not have an asymmetric effect on the EPU in the long run and have an asymmetric effect in the short term. In addition, a negative shock may have a relatively greater effect in the long run compared to a positive shock while a positive shock may have a relatively greater impact in the short term compared to a negative shock. Our results are important to both investors interested in the oil market, as well as for policymakers.
dc.description.urihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2021.122712
dc.description.urihttps://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2021.122712
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.energy.2021.122712
dc.identifier.issn0360-5442
dc.identifier.openairedoi_dedup___::4b74b90984b2b867bd506ccc231387a1
dc.identifier.orcid0000-0003-1739-2509
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85121113625
dc.identifier.startpage122712
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12597/39491
dc.identifier.volume241
dc.identifier.wos000738821900011
dc.language.isoeng
dc.publisherElsevier BV
dc.relation.ispartofEnergy
dc.rightsCLOSED
dc.subject.sdg8. Economic growth
dc.titleAsymmetric effects of oil shocks on economic policy uncertainty
dc.typeArticle
dspace.entity.typePublication
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